LA’s 2026 Growth Drivers: Climate Change
Despite the insistence by some that petroleum should be the world’s primary energy source, the usage of renewable energy sources is expanding globally. The evolution of the renewable energy industry is laudable, especially given the pushback it’s faced from the petroleum sector. The reality is that the accelerating climate crisis is driving the global expansion of clean energy sources, and California is leading the way with its substantial investments and even higher expectations.
Petroleum Fuel is Under Fire
While climate change isn’t the only reason the world is converting to non-petroleum fuels, it certainly underscores the wisdom of making that decision. Recent research demonstrates clearly the connection between oil and gas emissions and global heat waves. A 2025 study published in the journal Nature actually connects the dots between each of the world’s 180 ‘carbon majors’ (cement and fossil fuel producers) and 213 historically notable heat waves. The analysis rests on a well-established framework, published in 2020, that made it possible to measure how much the emissions generated by any particular company or industry contribute to the reality and significance of an actual heat wave. Labeled the field of ‘extreme event attribution,’ the research looks at the causes of these events (as opposed to the damages they created) and identifies the organizations that were most likely to have contributed to their occurrence.
The 2025 study followed the circumstances of 226 heatwaves reported in 63 countries between 2000 and 2023. Each heat ‘event’ was notable for its size, the damage it caused, the fact that it triggered a state of emergency, or required international assistance. The data collected during each event consisted of (among other indicators):
- the average temperature during the event
- the geographical region affected
- the intensity of the temperature in relation to pre-industrial data, and
- the change in the Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST) compared with temperatures taken between 1950 and 2023.
The comparisons across weather reports over time, coupled with the frequency of the heatwaves themselves, provide insights into how global warming is affecting the planet now. For example, the science indicates that the heat intensity experienced during the ‘heat dome’ that covered America’s Pacific Northwest in summer 2021 was 4.4° C hotter than it would have been in an earlier era.
From there, the researchers examined emissions data from the world’s many Carbon Dioxide (CO2) and Methane (CH4) emitters, the ‘carbon majors.’ According to this data, these 180 entities are responsible for 57% of all human-generated emissions. Further, when segregating out only the petroleum and cement producers, the percentage of attribution rises to 75%. The top 14 (of 180) carbon majors are believed to be responsible for 30% of the total CO2 output, while the other 166 equal that volume collectively. (For clarity, 33 carbon majors are American and account for 10% of the total global emissions of these gases. Another 33 are headquartered in China and account for 12% of the global total.) Combining the data sets (temperature changes and emissions information) allows scientists to determine the extent to which each carbon major contributed to the specific heat wave.
The study compelled a series of difficult conclusions:
- The average intensity of heatwaves increased by .8 °C between 2000-2009 and 2020-2023, from 1.4 °C to 2.2 °C.
- The carbon emissions from the most egregious emitters ‘caused 16 heatwaves to become at least 10,000 times more likely’ than they would have been before the climate crisis arose.
- The findings are likely an underestimation of the threat’s scale. One of the scientists suggested that the real consequences of this unfettered climate pollution ‘are probably far greater.’
As this body of science grows, it seems inevitable that it will continue to clarify and identify who is responsible for climate disasters and how they might be held accountable.
The Use of Renewable Energy is Rising
Not surprisingly, those areas that have experienced significant losses due to climate change are also very invested in avoiding similar events in the future. California is one of those regions, and the State is investing heavily in its evolving and emerging clean fuels industries.
The 2025 fires were just the latest indicator that California is on the front lines of the climate change battle. Since 2000, the State has suffered hundreds of billions of dollars in damages from climate-related disasters, most notably fires, but also droughts, floods, and heatwaves. In fact, the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), a sector of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency (NOAA), asserts that the decade between 2010 and 2020 had more than twice as many billion-dollar disasters as the decade between 2000 and 2010. Without significant intentions to slow that growth, California will be adversely affected by climate-related events for far into the foreseeable future.
Consequently, Governor Newsom is investing billions in a multi-billion-dollar budget that will (hopefully) slow the progress of climate change across the State while also reducing its capacity to cause damage. The goal is to achieve state-wide carbon neutrality by the year 2045 through several high-profile, very expensive projects:
- Electric Vehicles – Automobile emissions are highly toxic, and a switch to all-electric vehicles will remove this form of pollution from the atmosphere. California now has over 200,000 public or shared charging ports and another 800,000 privately owned terminals.
- Solar power will eventually replace other forms of electricity generation as the most efficient and widely deployed energy source. California already generates more solar-powered electricity than any other state, which accounts for 33% of the state’s electricity usage. Additionally, with over $120B in investments, California’s solar industry now employs over 78,000 people, and is expected to continue on that growth trajectory.
- And in the year since quelling the 2025 wildfires, the State has learned a lot about its causes. The World Weather Attribution organization estimates that the likelihood of a devastating fire in that region increased by 35% on the day the LA fires began. Of course, California’s natural windy and dry environment lends itself to wildfires at the best of times. Add in the complexities of climate concerns (see above), and it’s clear that much remains to be done to prevent future disasters like this.
So, considering the damage that California has already suffered due to climate change, and in light of the escalation of that reality into the future, it appears reasonable and wise that the State of California is now working to reduce the contributors to climate change by building out safer, less toxic industries. The rise of renewable energy industries in the State is growing,












